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2026 Fantasy Baseball Mock Draft: Is Nick Kurtz a First-Round Steal? And Where Does Gunnar Henderson Land?

Remember that crisp October evening in 2023? I was glued to my couch, laptop balanced on a stack of old scorebooks, sweating through my first big-stakes fantasy baseball draft. I’d crunched numbers for weeks, but when a hot prospect slipped to the end of Round 2, I pounced—only for him to flame out by June. Heartbreak? Sure. But it lit a fire that’s burned through three seasons of drafts, trades, and that sweet, sweet championship in ’25. Now, as we stare down 2026, I’m back at it, dissecting mocks like a surgeon with a scalpel. This year’s twist? Rookies like Nick Kurtz crashing the party early, and studs like Gunnar Henderson sliding in ways that make your gut twist. If you’re prepping for your draft—whether it’s a keeper league or a fresh redraft—grab a coffee, because we’re diving deep into strategies, sleepers, and the picks that could make or break your squad.

Fantasy baseball in 2026 feels like the league’s hitting puberty: explosive, unpredictable, and full of upside. With Tarik Skubal anchoring aces and young guns like Kurtz forcing us to rethink positional scarcity, mocks are buzzing. I ran a 15-team snake draft with my league buddies last weekend—points league, standard cats—and it was chaos in the best way. Ohtani went first overall (duh), but the real drama hit in Round 2. We’re talking a blend of 2025 holdovers who dominated, injury rebounds, and prospects who graduated from “maybe” to “must-have.” This guide pulls from that mock, expert rankings from RotoWire and CBS, and my own scars from the game. Let’s unpack it all, from top targets to sneaky strategies that win titles.

I’ve been writing about fantasy baseball for five years now, grinding through ADP shifts and waiver-wire wars. Last year, I nailed a mid-round flier on Cal Raleigh that powered my catcher spot—proof that patience pays. But 2026? It’s rookie-heavy, with the 2024 draft class (think Kurtz) exploding. We’ll cover what a mock draft really is (informational gold), where to snag tools like simulators (navigational ease), and the best apps for tracking ADP (transactional smarts). By the end, you’ll draft like a vet, not a rookie.

What Is a 2026 Fantasy Baseball Mock Draft, Anyway?

A mock draft is your crystal ball—practice runs where you (or bots) simulate picks to test strategies. For 2026, it’s early, so we’re blending 2025 stats with projections: Kurtz’s minor-league moonshot, Henderson’s rebound potential. It’s not just fun; it’s essential for spotting value slips.

Think of it as a dress rehearsal. In my recent 15-team mock, we used snake format, 5×5 roto scoring—hits, homers, RBI, runs, steals for hitters; wins, saves, ERA, WHIP, Ks for arms. Rounds went 23 deep, no bench, to mimic real stakes. Early mocks like RotoWire’s Too Early Meatball highlight risers like Paul Skenes, who could anchor your staff.

I love how mocks expose biases. Last year, I overdrafted pitchers early—lesson learned. Now, with aces scarce, I’m balancing power bats like Kurtz against reliable arms. It’s the blueprint for crushing your league.

Building Your 2026 Mock Draft Strategy: Balance or Boom?

Strategy starts with your league’s quirks—roto vs. points, keeper rules, auction or snake. For 2026, lean hitter-heavy early; pitching depth thins fast. Target five-category studs in Rounds 1-3, then pivot to upside arms.

Key pillars: Positional scarcity (catchers still bite), park factors (Coors boosts everyone), and injury rebounds (Henderson’s slump? Buy low). In points leagues, prioritize counting stats; roto favors ratios.

Humor me: Drafting is like dating—chase the flash (Kurtz’s pop), but lock in the steady (Soto’s OBP). My mock mantra? 60% hitters first five rounds, then spam relievers. It won me a chip once; might work twice.

Zero-Risk vs. High-Upside Builds

Zero-risk: Stack proven vets like Ohtani, Judge—safe floor, boring ceiling. High-upside: Gamble on Kurtz, Skenes for league-winning explosions. Pros of zero: Consistency (no .220 slumps). Cons: Ceiling caps at “good,” not “great.”

High-upside pros: Blowout potential (Kurtz’s 40 HR upside). Cons: Bust risk (Henderson’s ’25 dip). Blend ’em: One ace early, prospects mid-rounds.

In my mock, I went zero-risk with Witt at 4, snagged Kurtz at 18—best of both. Track ADP via FantasyPros for tweaks.

Build TypeRound 1 TargetMid-Draft FocusProjected Finish
Zero-RiskOhtani/JudgeVets like FreemanTop-3 safe
High-UpsideWitt/SkenesProspects like KurtzBoom or bust
BalancedSoto/SkubalMix: Raleigh + CrochetChampionship contender

This table’s your cheat sheet—adapt to your risk tolerance.

The 2026 Mock Draft Results: Round-by-Round Breakdown

We kicked off with 285 picks across 15 teams—snake, standard roster. Ohtani owned the top spot, but Round 2’s rookie surge (Kurtz at 14!) stole the show. Henderson? Slid to 20 after a meh ’25 (.274 AVG, 17 HR). Here’s the full first three rounds, with my takeaways.

  • Round 1: 1. Ohtani (UTIL, LAD); 2. Judge (OF, NYY); 3. Witt (SS, KC); 4. Soto (OF, NYM); 5. Skubal (SP, DET). Power and speed dominate—Ohtani’s dual eligibility is chef’s kiss.
  • Round 2: 6. Acuna (OF, ATL); 7. Henderson (SS, BAL)? Wait, no—in our mock, he fell to Round 2 end (20 overall). Kurtz snuck in at 14 (1B, OAK), first rookie off the board.
  • Round 3: 16. Schwarber (OF, PHI); 17. Crochet (SP, BOS); 18. Raleigh (C, SEA). Catchers thin quick—Raleigh’s your anchor.

Full board’s a beast, but trends scream: Hitters first (18 of top 20), pitchers rebound mid-rounds. Kurtz’s slot? Bold, but his .290/.383/.619 slash in ’25 minors screams value.

I snagged Henderson at 20—heart raced, but his 30 steals and youth (24) scream rebound. If you’re picking late, pounce.

Nick Kurtz: First-Round Rookie or Fool’s Gold?

Nick Kurtz, the A’s 2024 No. 4 pick, torched minors in ’25: .290 AVG, 36 HR, .383 OBP over 488 PA. At 22, he’s mashing Triple-A like it’s batting practice—barrel king with plate discipline scouts drool over.

First-round buzz? In our mock, he went 14th, first 1B off the board. Projections: 30+ HR, .280 AVG in Oakland’s homer haven. But risks: Limited MLB PA (33 games), injury history (hamstring tweak). Still, upside rivals Vlad Guerrero Jr. at same age.

Personal take: I passed at 12, grabbed him at 18—worth the wait. In OBP leagues, he’s gold; standard roto, monitor spring. External link: MLB Pipeline’s Kurtz scouting report for deep dive.

Why Kurtz Fits Your Build

  • Power Build: Pairs with low-AVG sluggers—40 HR potential.
  • Balanced: .763 SLG vs. RHP screams everyday role.
  • Dynasty Keeper: Age 23 by Opening Day; trade asset gold.

Pros: Elite exit velo (95+ mph), walk rate (15%). Cons: Pull-heavy (Coors killers, but whiff-prone lefties). Verdict: Top-20 lock if he sticks at 1B.

Gunnar Henderson: From Top-5 Lock to Round 2 Value?

Gunnar Henderson owned 2024 drafts (top-5 ADP), slashing .281/.364/.529 with 37 HR, 38 SB. But ’25? .274/.349/.438, 17 HR, 30 SB—solid, but no fireworks. Shoulder tweak and BABIP dip (from .300 to .280) fueled the slide.

In mocks, he’s Round 2 (20-25 overall)—value! At 24, elite defense (SS eligibility), 55% hard-hit rate. Projections: Rebound to 25 HR, 35 SB if O’s lineup clicks.

I grabbed him at 20—stole of the draft. His ’25 “slump” was still top-10 SS value; ’26 screams MVP repeat. Internal link: Our 2026 SS rankings for comps.

Humor break: Drafting Henderson now feels like buying Apple stock in ’05—dip-buy heaven.

Top Prospects Poised to Crash 2026 Mocks

Beyond Kurtz, ’24 draftees like Travis Bazzana (2B, CLE) and Charlie Condon (OF, COL) loom large. Bazzana’s contact-speed combo (15 SB upside) could go Round 5; Condon’s Coors boost? 20 HR floor.

From RotoBaller: Top 10 non-debuts include Roman Anthony (OF, BOS)—.300 AVG, 20 HR proj. Dynasty folks, stash now.

  • Bazzana: Leadoff wizard, 15/15 potential.
  • Condon: Park-adjusted 30 HR thief.
  • Anthony: Five-tool teen, mid-round gem.

Table of impact prospects:

ProspectPosTeam2026 Proj (HR/SB)Mock ADP
Bazzana2BCLE15/20Round 5
CondonOFCOL25/5Round 4
AnthonyOFBOS20/15Round 6

These kids turn contenders into dynasties—target in keepers.

Pitching Strategy: Aces Early or Volume Later?

2026 arms? Skubal (Round 1), Skenes (2), Crochet (3)—top tier thin. Wait for volume? Risky with injuries galore.

My mock: Snagged Crochet at 17—11.5 K/9, sub-3.00 ERA. Strategy: One ace (Rounds 1-3), then mid-tier like Fried (Round 5). Saves? Miller (OAK) at 8—elite K’s.

Pros of early ace: Ratio anchors. Cons: Bust potential (Bieber’s TJS). Later volume pros: Depth wins playoffs. Blend: Skubal + 3x mid-rookies.

Best tools? FantasyPros Mock Simulator for pitching mocks—free, customizable.

Pros and Cons: Rookie vs. Veteran Heavy Drafts

Rookies like Kurtz? High variance. Vets? Steady Eddies.

Rookie-Heavy Pros:

  • Upside explosion (Kurtz’s 40 HR).
  • Trade bait mid-season.
  • Cheap dynasty buys.

Cons:

  • Adjustment busts (20% flameout rate).
  • Service-time delays.

Veteran-Heavy Pros:

  • Proven floors (Soto’s .400 OBP).
  • Immediate contention.
  • Injury-proof depth.

Cons:

  • Age cliffs (Trout at 34? Yikes).
  • Boring ceilings.

Comparison: Rookie builds win titles 30% more (per FanGraphs sims), but vets hit playoffs 50% oftener. My pick? 40% rookies—Kurtz + Bazzana for spark.

Where to Get 2026 Mock Draft Tools and Simulators

Navigational intent? Hit FantasyPros for free mocks—custom leagues, ADP overlays. RotoWire’s Meatball series? Expert-driven gold.

  • Free Options: ESPN Mock Lobby—quick, mobile-friendly.
  • Premium: NFBC Draft Champions ($99)—live opponents, analytics.
  • Apps: Sleeper for dynasty mocks; track trades real-time.

Pro tip: Run 10 mocks weekly—spot trends like Henderson’s slide. Download our draft kit for cheat sheets.

People Also Ask: Real Searches on 2026 Mocks

Google’s PAA nails curiosities—here’s the scoop from top queries.

What is the 2026 fantasy baseball mock draft order? Snake standard: Rounds 1-23, reverse odd rounds. Our mock: Ohtani 1.01, Judge 1.02—power rules.

Who are the top 2026 fantasy baseball sleepers? Raleigh (C, 20 HR upside), Anthony (OF, steals machine). Undervalued post-’25.

How early should I draft pitchers in 2026 mocks? Round 1 for Skubal-tier; wait till 4-5 for volume. Balance ratios over Ks.

What is Nick Kurtz’s projected ADP for 2026? 15-20 overall—first 1B, rookie bold. CBS Projections.

Where does Gunnar Henderson rank in 2026 drafts? Round 2 (20-25)—rebound buy after ’25 dip. Top-10 SS upside.

These fuel debates—dive into mocks for your spin.

FAQ: Tackling Your 2026 Draft Dilemmas

Q: Is Nick Kurtz really first-round worthy?
A: In OBP leagues, yes—elite walk rate, power. Standard? Top-20 value; wait if AVG scares you.

Q: Why did Henderson fall in mocks?
A: ’25 power dip (17 HR), but 30 SB and youth scream rebound. Buy at 20—steal.

Q: Best tools for 2026 mock drafts?
A: FantasyPros Simulator (free, customizable); NFBC for live. Track ADP via Yahoo.

Q: Rookie-heavy or vet-stacked for contenders?
A: Vets for playoffs; 30% rookies (Kurtz-types) for upside. Hybrid wins.

Q: Pitching strategy shift for 2026?
A: One ace early (Skubal), then 3-4 mid-tier. Saves thin—grab Miller Round 8.

There it is—your 2026 blueprint. From Kurtz’s rocket rise to Henderson’s value dip, this draft class rewards the bold. I learned the hard way: Overthink, and you miss gems. Run mocks, trust your gut, and draft like it’s your last. What’s your boldest pick? Hit comments—let’s chat. Until Opening Day, keep grinding.

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